Fatal Police Shootings Analysis

Introduction

The dataset provides information on fatal police shootings in the US. This report outlines the results of three machine learning classification tasks performed on the dataset: predicting the manner of death, predicting the perceived threat level, and predicting whether a body camera was active during the incident.

Task 1: Predict manner_of_death

Features used: armed, age, race, threat_level, and signs_of_mental_illness.

Accuracy: 0.94

Classification Report:
precision    recall  f1-score   support

0       0.95      0.99      0.97      1171
1       0.08      0.02      0.03        60

 

Feature Importance

 

Task 2: Predict threat_level

Features used: armed, age, gender, race, and signs_of_mental_illness.

Accuracy: 0.66

Classification Report:
precision    recall  f1-score   support

0       0.71      0.83      0.76       772
1       0.54      0.38      0.45       418
2       0.42      0.25      0.31        40

Feature Importance:

 

Task 3: Predict body_camera

Features used: armed, age, gender, race, threat_level, manner_of_death, and flee.

Accuracy: 0.80

Classification Report:
precision    recall  f1-score   support

False       0.86      0.92      0.89       961
True       0.14      0.08      0.10       160

Feature Importance:

 

Insights

  1. Age consistently appears as a significant factor across all tasks. This suggests that the age of the individual involved plays a crucial role in various aspects of police encounters.
    2. The perceived threat level is influential in both predicting the manner_of_death and whether a body_camera was active. This highlights the importance of the perceived threat in police encounters.
    3. Armed status also has a notable influence across all tasks, emphasizing the role weapons play in these situations.
    4. Features like race, while not the most influential, still play a notable role in certain tasks. This may hint towards societal or systemic factors at play.
    5. The use of a body camera appears to be influenced by various factors, including the perceived threat, age, and race. This suggests that the decision to activate a body camera (or the scenarios where it’s active) may not be entirely random.

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